Economic Prediction Markets

Real-time crowd-sourced probabilities on economic events from Polymarket

Last Updated: 2026-03-14 02:00:09

Disclaimer: Market data from Polymarket API for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. We are not affiliated with Polymarket.
Total Events
39
Categories
1
Data Source
Polymarket

High Priority Markets

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $774160
Liquidity: $57985
Ends:
Outcomes: 4
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease …
0.2%
Will the ECB announce an increase at the …
1.0%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease …
0.2%
Will the ECB announce no change at the …
98.9%
98.9%
View Full Market on Polymarket →

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $679065
Liquidity: $234030
Ends:
Outcomes: 21
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or …
2.4%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or …
2.9%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or …
3.1%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or …
9.0%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or …
12.9%

+ 16 more outcomes • View all

View Full Market on Polymarket →

March Inflation US - Annual

Macro Indicators
Volume: $449854
Liquidity: $102534
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?
0.5%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?
0.5%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?
1.3%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
95.0%
95.0%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?
0.7%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View Full Market on Polymarket →

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $308756
Liquidity: $24250
Ends:
Outcomes: 5
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in …
55.0%
55.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in …
41.0%
41.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in …
21.0%
21.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in …
16.0%
16.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in …
7.3%
View Full Market on Polymarket →

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $158334
Liquidity: $55956
Ends:
Outcomes: 6
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
25.0%
25.0%
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
5.0%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
19.0%
19.0%
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
83.0%
83.0%
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
3.6%

+ 1 more outcomes • View all

View Full Market on Polymarket →

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $145753
Liquidity: $25460
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
15.8%
15.8%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
6.1%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
16.9%
16.9%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
27.0%
27.0%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
8.4%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View Full Market on Polymarket →

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

Macro Indicators
Volume: $119533
Liquidity: $63371
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?
1.2%
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?
0.6%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?
0.9%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?
17.0%
17.0%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
8.2%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View Full Market on Polymarket →

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $46630
Liquidity: $24664
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
1.5%
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
3.1%
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
88.0%
88.0%
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
8.0%
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
0.2%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View Full Market on Polymarket →

China Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $26480
Liquidity: $19567
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less …
1.4%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between …
15.0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between …
15.0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at …
6.0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between …
0.8%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View Full Market on Polymarket →

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $25108
Liquidity: $7439
Ends:
Outcomes: 8
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% …
20.0%
20.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than …
1.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% …
7.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% …
23.0%
23.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% …
13.0%

+ 3 more outcomes • View all

View Full Market on Polymarket →

All Economic Markets

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $774160
Liquidity: $57985
Ends:
Outcomes: 4
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease …
0.2%
Will the ECB announce an increase at the …
1.0%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease …
0.2%
Will the ECB announce no change at the …
98.9%
98.9%
View on Polymarket →

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $679065
Liquidity: $234030
Ends:
Outcomes: 21
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or …
2.4%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or …
2.9%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or …
3.1%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or …
9.0%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or …
12.9%

+ 16 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

March Inflation US - Annual

Macro Indicators
Volume: $449854
Liquidity: $102534
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?
0.5%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?
0.5%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?
1.3%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
95.0%
95.0%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?
0.7%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $308756
Liquidity: $24250
Ends:
Outcomes: 5
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in …
55.0%
55.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in …
41.0%
41.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in …
21.0%
21.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in …
16.0%
16.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in …
7.3%
View on Polymarket →

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $158334
Liquidity: $55956
Ends:
Outcomes: 6
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
25.0%
25.0%
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
5.0%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
19.0%
19.0%
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
83.0%
83.0%
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
3.6%

+ 1 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $145753
Liquidity: $25460
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
15.8%
15.8%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
6.1%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
16.9%
16.9%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
27.0%
27.0%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
8.4%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

Macro Indicators
Volume: $119533
Liquidity: $63371
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?
1.2%
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?
0.6%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?
0.9%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?
17.0%
17.0%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
8.2%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $46630
Liquidity: $24664
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
1.5%
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
3.1%
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
88.0%
88.0%
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
8.0%
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
0.2%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

China Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $26480
Liquidity: $19567
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less …
1.4%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between …
15.0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between …
15.0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at …
6.0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between …
0.8%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $25108
Liquidity: $7439
Ends:
Outcomes: 8
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% …
20.0%
20.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than …
1.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% …
7.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% …
23.0%
23.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% …
13.0%

+ 3 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

March Inflation US - Monthly

Macro Indicators
Volume: $24909
Liquidity: $25771
Ends:
Outcomes: 6
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?
3.3%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?
34.0%
34.0%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more …
34.0%
34.0%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less …
1.2%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in March?
4.0%

+ 1 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Macro Indicators
Volume: $13078
Liquidity: $8150
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.7%?
4.0%
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than …
56.0%
56.0%
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be greater than …
6.8%
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.5%?
21.0%
21.0%
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.8%?
32.0%
32.0%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $13026
Liquidity: $7503
Ends:
Outcomes: 1
[
24.4%
24.4%
"
75.6 %
75.6%
View on Polymarket →

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $9451
Liquidity: $5775
Ends:
Outcomes: 1
[
3.4%
"
96.6 %
96.6%
View on Polymarket →

March Unemployment Rate

Macro Indicators
Volume: $8289
Liquidity: $21985
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?
2.2%
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
1.6%
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?
12.2%
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
2.9%
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
11.0%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $4661
Liquidity: $16592
Ends:
Outcomes: 10
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be …
1.1%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be …
1.2%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be …
0.6%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be …
0.5%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be …
88.0%
88.0%

+ 5 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $4296
Liquidity: $2013
Ends:
Outcomes: 1
[
11.0%
"
89.0 %
89.0%
View on Polymarket →

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $3577
Liquidity: $8194
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between …
9.0%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between …
23.7%
23.7%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at …
26.0%
26.0%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between …
9.0%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?
2.5%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

2026 World GDP Growth

Macro Indicators
Volume: $2866
Liquidity: $7085
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
9.0%
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?
33.2%
33.2%
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
2.0%
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
0.9%
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?
9.0%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $2378
Liquidity: $3087
Ends:
Outcomes: 8
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
8.0%
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
6.7%
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
61.4%
61.4%
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
2.0%
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
18.0%
18.0%

+ 3 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

How many jobs added in March?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $2018
Liquidity: $11467
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will the US lose more than 150k jobs …
5.0%
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k …
11.0%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k …
21.0%
21.0%
Will the US add at least 100k jobs …
18.0%
18.0%
Will the US lose between 100k and 150k …
9.0%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $1541
Liquidity: $440
Ends:
Outcomes: 11
Will SOFR hit 3.76% (High) between March 1 …
0.0%
Will SOFR hit 3.72% (High) between March 1 …
0.0%
Will SOFR hit 3.64% (Low) between March 1 …
99.0%
99.0%
Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between March 1 …
0.0%
Will SOFR hit 3.68% (Low) between March 1 …
99.8%
99.8%

+ 6 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $1446
Liquidity: $23503
Ends:
Outcomes: 10
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.00 in March?
11.0%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in …
2.0%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in …
9.0%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in …
14.0%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in …
47.0%
47.0%

+ 5 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $1383
Liquidity: $912
Ends:
Outcomes: 3
Will India’s Unemployment Rate increase in February?
73.0%
73.0%
Will India’s Unemployment Rate decrease in February?
27.0%
27.0%
Will India’s Unemployment Rate not change in February?
6.0%
View on Polymarket →

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $1295
Liquidity: $1469
Ends:
Outcomes: 1
[
39.0%
39.0%
"
61.0 %
61.0%
View on Polymarket →

South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $4
Liquidity: $578
Ends:
Outcomes: 3
Will South Korea's Unemployment Rate increase between January …
24.0%
24.0%
Will South Korea's Unemployment Rate not change between …
0.0%
Will South Korea's Unemployment Rate decrease between January …
71.0%
71.0%
View on Polymarket →

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $3649
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less …
15.3%
15.3%
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between …
3.0%
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between …
3.0%
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between …
2.1%
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between …
0.0%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

India Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $6872
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% …
5.0%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% …
18.0%
18.0%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least …
14.0%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than …
6.0%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% …
29.0%
29.0%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $10547
Ends:
Outcomes: 10
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% …
0.6%
Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and …
8.9%
Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and …
2.9%
Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and …
7.3%
Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and …
6.0%

+ 5 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $2346
Ends:
Outcomes: 6
Will the U.K.’s November 2025–January 2026 unemployment rate …
8.0%
Will the U.K.’s November 2025–January 2026 unemployment rate …
19.0%
19.0%
Will the U.K.’s November 2025–January 2026 unemployment rate …
19.0%
19.0%
Will the U.K.’s November 2025–January 2026 unemployment rate …
11.0%
Will the U.K.’s November 2025–January 2026 unemployment rate …
28.0%
28.0%

+ 1 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $4337
Ends:
Outcomes: 6
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
9.0%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
2.0%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
48.1%
48.1%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
20.0%
20.0%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
14.0%

+ 1 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $7260
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
43.0%
43.0%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
0.0%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
8.0%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
46.0%
46.0%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
26.0%
26.0%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $10259
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between …
0.7%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between …
1.7%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between …
19.9%
19.9%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at …
23.5%
23.5%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less …
7.6%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $5216
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than …
5.0%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% …
11.0%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% …
41.0%
41.0%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% …
6.0%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% …
3.8%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $9374
Ends:
Outcomes: 8
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and …
44.0%
44.0%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
26.0%
26.0%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and …
1.2%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and …
16.0%
16.0%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and …
23.0%
23.0%

+ 3 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $1511
Ends:
Outcomes: 1
[
55.0%
55.0%
"
45.0 %
45.0%
View on Polymarket →

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $9926
Ends:
Outcomes: 9
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
23.5%
23.5%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
18.0%
18.0%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
0.9%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
15.0%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be …
27.0%
27.0%

+ 4 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $5647
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
6.2%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
0.0%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
25.0%
25.0%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
37.0%
37.0%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
56.0%
56.0%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →

Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026

Macro Indicators
Volume: $0
Liquidity: $2326
Ends:
Outcomes: 7
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
0.0%
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
0.0%
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
0.0%
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
80.0%
80.0%
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be …
5.0%

+ 2 more outcomes • View all

View on Polymarket →